Estonia National Football Team faced Italy National Football Team in the Group Round of the Qualification of the Europe on October 11. Italy took the win with a commanding 1-3 result.
On the 4th minute, Moise Kean netted the first goal of the match, putting Italy in front. This was followed by goals from Mateo Retegui, Pio Esposito and Rauno Sappinen, bringing the match to a 1-3 conclusion.
As Estonia and Italy prepare to meet again, the memory of Estonia's 5-0 win in their Europe Qualification Group round encounter from a month ago still lingers. Estonia prepare for their next challenge following a draw with Andorra on September 9 in the a friendly. Goal-scoring has proven elusive for them lately, failing to score in their last three outings, which has put a spotlight on their offensive issues.
Italy enter the match on a positive note, having secured three victories in a row against Israel, Estonia and Moldova in their last three outings. Though notably, their backline remains a concern, conceding goals in their last three away matches in a row.
This Europe Qualification Group round clash shines a light on the players who have played crucial roles in creating and converting chances for Estonia National Football Team and Italy National Football Team in this campaign. Estonia’s top finisher Mattias Kait and Maksim Paskotsi have played important roles in ensuring their attack, carefully orchestrated by Jurgen Henn, remains effective. Kait leads Estonia’s scoring charts in Europe Qualification Group round this season with two goals, while Yakovlev remains their top assist provider in the competition with one. Supporting them are Rasmus Peetson, Rauno Sappinen and Kevor Palumets, who have also chipped in with important goals and assists, adding depth to Estonia’s attack.
Meanwhile, Italy’s offensive unit, with Gennaro Gattuso steering the side, has leaned on Mateo Retegui and Giacomo Raspadori, their main scorer, as they continue to drive the team’s attacking efforts forward. Raspadori has already scored three goals in Europe Qualification Group round this season, while Retegui has been their leading creator in the competition with four assists. Supporting them are Andrea Cambiaso, Moise Kean and Matteo Politano, who have also chipped in with important goals and assists, adding depth to Italy’s attack.
ScoreBat is covering Estonia vs Italy in real time, providing the live stream and live score of the match, team line-ups, full match stats, live match commentary and official video highlights. We cover all matches of the Group Round of the Qualification of the Europe in real time and provide live streaming whenever possible.
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Our system first delivers a pre-match prediction for Estonia–Italy, and then continues to track the action live, updating its forecast every minute as the game unfolds. Here, AI analysis ahead of kickoff correctly anticipated Italy National Football Team's win. Ahead of kick-off, the algorithm projected that Italy’s victory had the highest chance, at 65%, while a draw was at 27% and Estonia’s victory was at 8%.
We are updating team formations and line-ups for Estonia - Italy in real time.
Estonia kicked off the game with Karl Hein, Joseph Saliste who got substituted by Vlasiy Sinyavskiy on the 46th minute, Marten Kuusk who got substituted by Karol Mets on the 62nd minute, Maksim Paskotsi, Rasmus Peetson, Kevor Palumets who got substituted by Michael Larsen on the 46th minute, Rocco Shein who got substituted by Karel Mustmaa on the 83rd minute, Robi Saarma, Markus Soomets, Mattias Kait and Alex Tamm who got substituted by Rauno Sappinen on the 62nd minute as starters, with Matvei Igonen, Henri Perk, Joonas Tamm, Vlasiy Sinyavskiy, Michael Larsen, Karol Mets, Martin Miller, Patrik Kristal, Martin Vetkal, Ioan Yakovlev, Karel Mustmaa and Rauno Sappinen on the bench.
Italy's starting eleven were Gianluigi Donnarumma, Riccardo Calafiori, Alessandro Bastoni, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Federico Dimarco, Sandro Tonali, Nicolo Barella who got substituted by Davide Frattesi on the 77th minute, Riccardo Orsolini who got substituted by Andrea Cambiaso on the 62nd minute, Moise Kean who got substituted by Pio Esposito on the 15th minute, Mateo Retegui who got substituted by Bryan Cristante on the 77th minute and Giacomo Raspadori who got substituted by Leonardo Spinazzola on the 62nd minute, with Guglielmo Vicario, Marco Carnesecchi, Iyenoma Udogie, Matteo Gabbia, Leonardo Spinazzola, Gianluca Mancini, Andrea Cambiaso, Bryan Cristante, Manuel Locatelli, Davide Frattesi, Nicolo Cambiaghi and Pio Esposito on the bench.
Explore stats from Estonia vs Italy on ScoreBat - we are updating the numbers on this page every second of the game.
Referee showed the yellow card seven times throughout the game. Nicolo Barella, Marten Kuusk, Kevor Palumets, Rasmus Peetson, Alessandro Bastoni, Andrea Cambiaso and Vlasiy Sinyavskiy were the ones to receive it.
The teams have met twice since November 2020. Italy have dominated, winning all two matches without conceding a draw or loss. The most recent match between them was on September 5, 2025, in the Group Round of the Qualification of the Europe, where Italy secured a 5-0 victory. In total, Estonia have managed zero goal in these two meetings, compared to Italy's nine. As things stand, Italy have a superior head-to-head record against Estonia in their recent encounters.
Estonia have played seven matches in Europe Qualification Group round, with one win, one draw, and five loss this season, netting seven goals (1.00 per match) and conceding seventeen (2.43 per match). This season in Europe Qualification Group round, Italy have recorded five wins, zero draws, and one loss in six matches, scoring eighteen goals at an average of 3.00 per match and conceding eight at a rate of 1.33 per match.
Estonia played their last match against Andorra, which ended in a draw, while Italy are in the middle of a three-match winning streak, including victories against Israel, Estonia and Moldova in their last three outings. Overall, in their last twenty matches, Estonia have recorded four wins, thirteen losses, and three draws, while Italy have won ten of their last twenty matches, losing five and drawing five.
As always, Europe Qualification Group round's live standings are availble and updated in real time. Estonia sit 4th with four points from seven matches, while Italy are 2nd with fifteen points from their six games.
We are adding goal videos and full video highlights of the match between Estonia and Italy in real time. You can watch the goals by Moise Kean, Mateo Retegui, Pio Esposito and Rauno Sappinen as the videos of the goals are added usually minutes after the actual event if there are any official videos available. Full video highlights of Estonia - Italy are being added as they become available on the official social media channels of the league or the teams.